Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.027299 0.029926 0.032527 0.035292 0.038140 0.040985 0.044036
2025-01-05 0.021822 0.026023 0.030305 0.034967 0.039877 0.044873 0.050321
2025-01-12 0.017814 0.022998 0.028420 0.034445 0.040898 0.047554 0.054898
2025-01-19 0.014100 0.019867 0.026064 0.033088 0.040727 0.048702 0.057588
2025-01-26 0.012528 0.018903 0.025895 0.033931 0.042760 0.052049 0.062462
2025-02-02 0.010735 0.017516 0.025121 0.033990 0.043834 0.054268 0.066032
2025-02-09 0.008661 0.015624 0.023650 0.033164 0.043843 0.055252 0.068192
2025-02-16 0.007458 0.014675 0.023185 0.033402 0.044965 0.057389 0.071540
2025-02-23 0.006228 0.013583 0.022481 0.033307 0.045665 0.059018 0.074291
2025-03-02 0.005043 0.012438 0.021645 0.033007 0.046088 0.060303 0.076628
2025-03-09 0.004075 0.011485 0.020984 0.032867 0.046655 0.061713 0.079068
2025-03-16 0.002974 0.010204 0.019850 0.032120 0.046492 0.062281 0.080553
2025-03-23 0.002106 0.009239 0.019190 0.032063 0.047279 0.064089 0.083617
2025-03-30 0.001250 0.008113 0.018292 0.031732 0.047785 0.065631 0.086448
2025-04-06 0.000553 0.006973 0.017292 0.031227 0.048054 0.066880 0.088933
2025-04-13 0.000030 0.005504 0.015705 0.029919 0.047330 0.066965 0.090085
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005244 0.015819 0.030730 0.049089 0.069849 0.094338
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004638 0.015366 0.030787 0.049926 0.071661 0.097371
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003688 0.014289 0.029991 0.049711 0.072243 0.098998
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003271 0.014014 0.030220 0.050709 0.074201 0.102155
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002757 0.013517 0.030129 0.051301 0.075673 0.104747
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002215 0.012896 0.029840 0.051630 0.076826 0.106962
2025-06-01 NaN 0.001782 0.012407 0.029706 0.052131 0.078163 0.109369